CP
CLARIVATE PLC (CLVT)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- CLVT delivered a solid Q3: revenues were $623.1M (+0.1% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $252.4M with a 40.5% margin, and adjusted diluted EPS $0.18; GAAP diluted EPS improved to -$0.04 from -$0.09 YoY .
- The quarter featured a clear beat vs Wall Street: revenue and adjusted EPS exceeded S&P Global consensus, while EBITDA (SPGI definition) modestly missed; management raised full-year revenue guidance to $2.42B–$2.45B, the only guidance metric changed this quarter .
- Organic ACV accelerated to 1.6% (+30 bps seq.), renewal rate reached 93% (+100 bps YoY), and recurring organic revenue mix improved to 88% YTD; management highlighted AI-led product innovation and improved sales execution under the Value Creation Plan .
- Capital allocation remained active: CLVT repurchased 11.7M shares (~$50M) and called $100M of 2026 bonds in Q3; net leverage ~4x and swaps extended to 2030, providing interest rate protection .
- Stock reaction catalysts: raised revenue guidance, sequential ACV acceleration, and visible AI product momentum (e.g., Innography AI Classifier and SEP Analyzer) and IPfolio customer wins (Winbond, FUJIFILM) supporting segment narratives .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Organic ACV acceleration and mix improvement: ACV +1.6% YoY and recurring organic revenue mix improved to 88% YTD; CEO emphasized “accelerating product and AI development… driving organic ACV growth” .
- Guidance raised: full-year revenue outlook increased to $2.42B–$2.45B on stronger transactional book sales ahead of disposal and FX tailwind; CFO: “The full year 2025 revenue outlook was revised upward…” .
- Capital returns and balance sheet actions: 11.7M shares repurchased in Q3, $100M debt repayment, extended $500M swaps to 2030; net leverage ~4x maintained .
- Segment wins and AI product momentum: major A&G renewals (largest US consortium) and AI enhancements across IP (Derwent Patent Monitor) and LS&H (Cortellis Regulatory Assistant); multiple customer contracts secured .
What Went Wrong
- Margin compression: adjusted EBITDA margin declined to 40.5% (from 42.5% YoY) due to continued investment and higher incentive compensation expense; adjusted EBITDA down to $252.4M from $264.4M YoY .
- Transactional and re-occurring headwinds organically: organic re-occurring -3.2% and transactional -2.8% on IP volumes and A&G wind-down; overall organic revenue -0.1% in Q3 .
- LS&H segment softness YoY in Q3: LS&H revenues declined to $92.8M (from $101.1M), reflecting disposals and minor organic decline; IP segment also modestly down YoY .
Financial Results
Quarterly performance vs prior quarters and YoY
Revenue mix and segment detail
KPIs and cash flow
Guidance Changes
Management also indicated Q4 revenue “about $600M” and adjusted EBITDA “approach $250M,” framing FY revenue/EBITDA drivers (disposals timing, FX, organic recurring) .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO (prepared remarks): “By accelerating product and AI development, investing in proprietary assets, and collaborating closely with our customers… driving organic ACV growth” .
- CFO (prepared remarks): “The full year 2025 revenue outlook was revised upward, reflecting increased transactional book sales… and the favorable impact of a weaker U.S. dollar” .
- CFO (guidance detail): “Recurring organic growth in the upper half… adjusted EBITDA ~high end of range; diluted adjusted EPS and FCF near midpoints” .
- CFO (disposals timing): “Without [Q3 eBook deals], disposals would be down >$20M… ~$90M decline in 2025 and a little over $100M next year will go away” .
- CEO (IP strategy): “We are… introducing changes into our IP segment with renewed sales structure and upcoming new products… confident we will turn IP into a growing segment” .
Q&A Highlights
- IP renewal business trajectory: Recurring renewal services flat YTD vs -3% FY24; improving competitive position (workflow software investment) and market recovery expected to drive growth in 2026 .
- AI product roadmap: Dual track of AI-enablement of existing products and AI-native launches (e.g., RiskMark, Web of Science Research Intelligence agent); ~20 early contracts ahead of formal launch .
- Disposals and guide dynamics: Q3 benefitted from large low-margin eBook transactions; disposals attrition slower than expected, lifting FY revenue; timing suggests more revenue roll-off in 2026 .
- IP market underlying trends: Patents-in-force rising, AI innovation cycle seen as multi-year lift to volumes; near-term lumpiness by region/customer .
- Content vs workflow: Majority of AI innovation applied to information services (Web of Science, Derwent); substantial proprietary/enriched datasets underpin differentiation .
Estimates Context
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Note: Company-reported adjusted EBITDA was $252.4M (40.5% margin), which differs in definition from SPGI “EBITDA” .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Raised FY revenue guidance amid slower disposal attrition and FX tailwind; expect adjusted EBITDA towards the high end, with EPS/FCF near midpoints — supportive to near-term sentiment .
- Sequential ACV acceleration and 93% renewal rate signal strengthening core; focus on subscription mix (88% YTD) improves predictability .
- AI-led product cadence across segments (Derwent, Innography, Cortellis, Web of Science) is a strategic differentiator, likely to aid retention and upsell into 2026 .
- Watch disposal timing: Q3 revenue benefitted from one-off eBook deals; expect lower Q4 revenue vs prior year and further disposal roll-off in 2026 — monitor mix and margin conversion .
- IP renewal services stabilizing; macro innovation cycle (AI) may lift volumes in outer years — monitor competitive wins and software attach .
- Capital allocation remains shareholder-friendly (buybacks, debt reduction, interest-rate hedges) while holding leverage ~4x — balanced optionality into Q4 .
- Strategic alternatives review progressing with narrowed scope; potential portfolio action could re-rate, with updates expected at FY results (Feb 2026) .